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US experts research shows that global aerospace industry revenue record.

日期:2018-07-26 人气:165

On July 16, the US Aviation and Space Technology Weekly published an article jointly published by Kevin Michaels, Managing Director of American Aerospace Power Consulting, and Richard Abrafia, Vice President of Tyre Group. According to the article, in this study, Aerodynamics Consulting and Tiel Group carefully reviewed the figures reported by the National Aerospace Industries Association, aligning these figures with their definitions and using them to cover hundreds of aerospace companies. They have been validated by proprietary databases of markets and projects. The author carefully excludes the work done by the company outside of the country and counts this part of the work income into the country actually completed.
The article said that although the report uses consistent income figures, it should be noted that different countries and different market segments have very different characteristics. The profit of military projects is often higher than that of civilian projects. The profit of after-sales work of parts is usually more lucrative than the new work. Some countries are more focused on exports, while others are designed to meet domestic demand.
The article pointed out that China now has the world's third largest aerospace industry, but its products are almost never exported. Other countries in the top five (US, France, UK, and Germany) account for a high percentage of total output, and profits are usually quite rich.
The study also shows that the aerospace industry is dominated by the most successful participants. The US aerospace industry accounts for nearly half of global output. The output of the top ten countries last year was 731 billion US dollars, accounting for 87% of the world total. By region, the Americas accounted for 54%, followed by Europe, the Middle East and Africa (31%) and Asia (15%).
According to the article, in terms of activities, maintenance, repair and overhaul are becoming more and more important in this $838 billion industry, with output exceeding $220 billion, including the activities of “turning the wrench”, upgrades and related parts. A large part of this type of activity is not reflected in conventional aerospace industry estimates. Military aircraft maintenance is a good example. The annual cost in this area is about $70 billion, and most of the work is done by military personnel. Military maintenance agencies usually do not belong to the National Industrial Association.
In addition, the article points out that civil and military aircraft and engine manufacturing, including extended supply chains, account for 54% of global aerospace activities. Aerodynamics Consulting and the Tiel Group analyzed the multi-level supply chain of original equipment manufacturers. For example, 60% to 70% of aircraft procurement costs for aircraft OEMs come from suppliers. 40% to 60% of the product procurement costs of system and aircraft component suppliers at the first level come from sub-suppliers. The same is true for the second and third level suppliers.
Other categories of concern include satellite and space (7%) and missiles and drones (5%). Although the number of drones is increasing, the annual output of these aircraft is less than $3 billion. This is roughly equivalent to 10% of the value of a manned aircraft.
According to the analysis of the article, there is almost no indication that the proportion of these market segments will be significantly affected by economic or technological factors. But historically, the strongest long-term growth has come from the large commercial aircraft transportation sector and related suppliers and service providers. Strong global travel metrics mean that these segments will continue to expand their share of the industry as a whole.
The article said that this year's study conducted a brief analysis of the 2017 income. According to the project and market database, the authors are very clear that the current figures in the industry are close to historical records, and at least there will be further growth in the next year or two.






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